|
Real Estate News Articles
published in 2010: |
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| 04/20/2010 |
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1st-Time Homebuyers Drive Housing Market in March |
|
DSNews.com |
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First-time homebuyers accounted for a
record-high share of purchases last month, according to new data
released this week. |
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04/19/2010 |
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BofA Proposes 9-Month Forbearance Plan for
Unemployed |
|
DSNews.com |
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Bank of America says it is considering giving unemployed homeowners
nine months of no mortgage payments while they search for a new job. |
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04/19/2010 |
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Excess Inventory May Impede Housing Recovery |
|
DSNews.com |
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Although housing is beginning to stabilize, excess inventory and
shadow supply may hinder continued recovery, according to the April
2010 Economic Outlook released Monday by Fannie Mae's Economics &
Mortgage Market Analysis Group. |
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04/19/2010 |
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Builders Urge Extreme Care in
Restoring Housing Finance System |
|
NAHB |
|
As Congress begins to debate
how to reform government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie
Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Bank System,
NAHB on April 14 called on lawmakers to ensure that the federal
government continues to provide a backstop for the housing finance
system to ensure a reliable and adequate flow of affordable housing
credit. |
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04/19/2010 |
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Health Care Tax Changes to Have Little
Impact on Principal Residence Sellers |
|
NAHB |
|
Among the many policy changes in the recently enacted health
care legislation, builders and the
residential construction industry should be aware of two tax policy
changes in particular: |
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|
04/16/2010 |
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More Evidence of a Bottom in Housing |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
According to March data released today, U.S. housing starts have
risen 30% from their all-time low (April '09). In addition, building
permits increased 38% over the same period. And not surprisingly,
the Bloomberg index of home builders' stocks bottomed last July and
has since risen over 50%. And as I've pointed out before, the prices
of home equity-backed securities are rising sharply. If this doesn't
add up to a clear picture of a bottoming in the residential
construction market, I don't know what would. |
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04/15/2010 |
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White House: How Do We Solve Mortgage Crisis |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
How should we
solve the U.S. mortgage crisis? That is the BIG question White House
officials are starting to ask representatives of the lending industry,
academic experts and consumer groups in efforts to come up with a plan
to reform the nation's troubled mortgage giants, Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac. |
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04/15/2010 |
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Fannie Mae Director Outlines Program to Turn Homeowners into Renters |
| HousingWire |
|
The director of Fannie Mae's
deed for lease (D4L) program outlined the initiative during Thursday's Texas Mortgage Bankers Association (TMBA)
servicing conference. |
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| 04/14/2010 |
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Housing Recovery Gains Traction |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
The government's mortgage modification program is on
track to produce up to 4-million loan modifications, according to
White House officials. The plan started to aid the ailing home
market has prompted banks that are not part of the program to modify
mortgages, gaining traction towards a housing recovery. |
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04/13/2010 |
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Multiple Foreclosures Slam Home Market |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
Multiple foreclosure properties mortgaged by investors
contribute to more than a third of all homes being foreclosed,
according to a new study conducted by Housing Predictor. The crisis
is leading investors who once bought the property in hopes of
turning a profit to increasingly call bankers to ask for mortgage
modifications and forgiveness, but few are having any luck. |
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| 04/13/2010 |
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Hovnanian: The Rebound in Housing Starts Is Supported by the Data |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
After reading my housing starts post from yesterday, Hovnanian
Enterprises (HOV) CEO Ara Hovnanian was kind enough to have his
investor relations department send over some additional information
on trends and demand for U.S. housing starts. |
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| 04/13/2010 |
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Baby Boomers on the Move: Snuggling in
or Launching Out? |
| MarketWatch |
|
Whether it's in the Sunbelt
or the Rustbelt, a move across the street or across the nation, Baby
Boomers are still willing to move to a new place when they retire,
according to the 2010 Del Webb Baby Boomer Survey released today. |
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| 04/12/2010 |
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Foreclosure Crisis Forecast Cut |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
The foreclosure crisis has produced a ripple effect
across the U.S. economy, triggering downward pressure on home prices
and the national economy. But for the first time in its history,
Housing Predictor is lowering its foreclosure forecast. |
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| 04/12/2010 |
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Foreclosure inventories hit record |
| MarketWatch |
|
The inventory of foreclosed
homes in the U.S. hit a record in February, a sign that the
real-estate crisis is lingering, according to data released Monday
by a leading mortgage processor. |
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| 04/08/2010 |
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Consumer Spending Has Held Up Because People Aren't Paying Their
Mortgages |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
I've been somewhat perplexed by how well consumer spending has held
up, at least on a relative basis, given that 1) "underemployment" is
above 20 percent and the number of long-term employed is at a
record; 2) income has not kept pace with consumption; and, 3) the
housing industry is nowhere near a recovery (and the foreclosures
just keep on coming). |
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| 04/07/2010 |
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MBA
Reports 1.2 Million Households Lost During the Recession |
|
DSNews.com |
|
A study released Wednesday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
showed that an estimated 1.2 million households were lost from 2005
to 2008, despite the population increase of 3.4 million in the study
area. MBA says this decline in households was likely a significant
factor to the excess supply of apartments and single-family homes
currently on the market. |
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| 04/07/2010 |
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Early Reaction to HAFA Program |
|
DSNews.com |
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The administration's Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA)
program hasn't even been in effect for a full week, and positive
feedback is already coming in. |
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| 04/07/2010 |
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What Housing Inventory Picture Really Looks Like |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
The federal government has tried every manner of strange
intervention to foolishly support the price of real estate. The
trend in unit sales shows very little evidence of success (see
below). |
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| 04/06/2010 |
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Housing Bail Out to Top $2-Trillion |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
The U.S.
government housing rescue program is on target to spend more than
$2-trillion on bail out efforts, according to a review of government
allocations. The effort marks the largest amount spent on record to aid
real estate markets in a downturn, and is intended to help push the
economy in the direction of a recovery. |
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| 04/06/2010 |
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Americans Continue to Value Homeownership, Survey Shows |
|
DSNews.com |
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Although millions of families across the nation have been adversely
affected by the foreclosure crisis, the majority of Americans still
have a positive sentiment towards homeownership, Fannie Mae found in
its National Housing Survey. |
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| 04/02/2010 |
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Signs of Life in Sand-State Real Estate |
|
The New York Times |
|
SAND is not a good foundation for a house, and it certainly wasn't a
good foundation for a housing boom. But now home prices are starting
to recover in some so-called sand states. |
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| 04/02/2010 |
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Recovery-less Recovery: Unemployment Duration March 2010 |
| Paper Economy |
|
Nothing says recovery less
than a steadily increasing pool of unemployed workers facing the
specter of a quickly increasing average (and median) length stint on
unemployment. |
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| 04/01/2010 |
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Freddie Mac Announces REO Auction Blitz Ahead of Tax Credit Deadline |
|
DSNews.com |
|
Freddie Mac is riding the wave of the homebuyer tax credit, hoping
it will be incentive enough to entice deal-seekers to snatch up
foreclosed properties it has repossessed in the hard-hit Las Vegas
and Southern California markets and put a dent in the GSEs swollen
inventory of REO properties. |
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| 03/30/2010 |
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Millions of Homeowners to Get Money |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
The U.S. government's program to bring relief to
homeowners in jeopardy of foreclosure is designed to bring tailor
made solutions to the 10 states in the program. The plan, known as
the Hardest Hit Fund (HHF) is being administered through the
Troubled Asset and Relief Program with $2.1-billion for homeowners
in distress. |
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| 03/28/2010 |
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6
Million Homes Compose Shadow Inventory in Housing |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
The shadow inventory of homes and other residential
properties exceeds 6 million, which will prolong the recovery of the
U.S. housing market. The inventory of properties that have not yet
been completed as foreclosures, but are under distress represent a
growing inventory to be absorbed by the market. |
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|
| 03/31/2010 |
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House Flippers in U.S. Crowd Courthouse Steps in Hunt for Deals |
| BusinessWeek |
|
During the U.S. housing boom, even amateur investors could buy
and sell a property within a couple of months and turn a profit.
Today there's nothing amateur about house flipping. |
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| 03/30/2010 |
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Consumer confidence rebounds to 52.5 in March |
|
Big Builder Online |
|
Americans' confidence in the economy rebounded in March
after a February plunge but remains relatively weak amid a tough job
market, according to a private research group's monthly survey
released Tuesday. |
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| 03/26/2010 |
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White House Adds Help for Underwater, Unemployed to Housing Plan |
|
DSNews.com |
|
The administration unveiled major expansions to its foreclosure
prevention plan Friday – expansions designed to help underwater and
unemployed homeowners and push it closer to meeting President
Obama's goal of helping 3 to 4 million borrowers save their homes |
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| 03/25/2010 |
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New Home Prices Have More Room to Fall |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
Over the past 48 hours, the
Census Bureau and the National Association of Realtors have
announced new and existing home sales, respectively, for February.
As expected (at Financial Armageddon,
at least) neither set of data points offered any real encouragement
for those who keep harping on about a recovery in the sector. |
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|
| 03/24/2010 |
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New Home Sales Reach Record Lows in February |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
The Commerce Department reports that new home sales reached all-time
record lows last month, below the levels seen in early-2009 at the
height of the financial market crisis. |
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| 03/24/2010 |
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Big cities see gains as boomers delay retirement |
|
Big Builder Online |
|
Battered by recession, more older Americans are staying
put in traditional big cities to hold onto jobs, creating slowdowns
in population growth at once-popular retirement destinations widely
found in the South and West. |
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|
| 03/17/2010 |
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The
New Foreclosure Trend |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
From the
recent Lender Processing Services report comes the chart shown below
depicting the latest foreclosure trend - non-foreclosures. That is,
where borrowers stop making mortgage payments but stay in the house. |
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|
| 03/03/2010 |
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Company Targets Shadow
Inventory with 48-Hour Short Sales |
|
DSNews.com |
|
Loan Resolution Corporation said
Wednesday that it is implementing a pre-approved short sale program
to help the 8 million homeowners who are currently delinquent on
their mortgages. The company says its streamlined process can turn a
short sale decision within 48 hours. |
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| 03/01/2010 |
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Builders, Lenders Team Up to Save The
Housing Market |
|
HULIQ |
|
The trend is particularly strong in hard hit areas like California,
Las Vegas, and Arizona where housing projects grew rampantly until
the bubble burst leaving many developers and builders either belly
up or barely surviving. |
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| 03/01/2010 |
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New rules favor flipping to move foreclosures |
|
East Valley Tribune |
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Flipping used to be a dirty word in
residential real estate, but not anymore. A recent policy change by the
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development is encouraging flipping
to foster more sales of foreclosure homes that were badly damaged by the
previous owners or others. |
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| 02/26/2010 |
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Paulson's Real Estate Recovery Fund Making Big
Bets On Cheap Land Out West |
|
Business Insider |
|
John Paulson's Real
Estate Recovery Fund is betting on land in Arizona, Colorado and Nevada. |
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|
| 02/26/2010 |
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Obama Considers Foreclosure Ban |
|
DSNews.com |
|
President Obama and his
administration are floating an idea to prohibit lenders from foreclosing
on a home unless the borrower has been considered for the government's
Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP). |
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| 02/25/2010 |
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Industry Pushes for Extension of Admin's Refinance
Program |
|
DSNews.com |
|
The Obama
administration's Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP)
is set to expire on June 10. It's a central component of the federal
government's foreclosure prevention efforts and is currently one of the
only mortgage relief programs to help underwater borrowers refinance
into more affordable loans. |
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| 02/24/2010 |
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MBA Develops Forbearance Program for Unemployed |
|
DSNews.com |
|
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) has
put forth a concept for a new forbearance program that would allow
borrowers who have lost their jobs to remain in their homes while they
seek new employment. According to the proposed program, loan
servicers would reduce the borrower's mortgage payment for up to
nine months while the homeowner looks for employment. |
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| 02/24/2010 |
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New Housing Aid
Will Target Hardest Hit States |
|
Nuwire Investor |
|
As part
of the new housing rescue measures, additional federal aid
coordinated by local agencies, through the Treasury Department,
should soon reach at-risk mortgage holders in California, Florida,
Michigan, Nevada and Arizona. The $1.5 billion plan, which could be
extended to other struggling states, promises transparency while
targeting relief to the communities that need it most. See the
following article from Housing Predictor for more on this. |
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| 02/23/2010 |
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11.3m Homeowners
Now Underwater: First American |
|
Housing Wire |
|
11.3m homeowners now owe more on their mortgages than the value of
their home at the end of Q409, with the Sand States taking four of
the top five negative equity, or underwater, markets according to
research released by First
American CoreLogic. |
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| 02/22/2010 |
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Slow Recovery May Be Leading
to Serious Housing Shortages |
|
Nation's Building News |
|
Even as foreclosures continue to flood some of the
worst-hit housing markets in the country, economists are beginning
to sound the warning that todayƠs extremely low levels of new
residential production could lead to significant housing shortages,
especially among market-rate rental apartments, as household
formation rates return to normal. |
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| 02/22/2010 |
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Poll:
Economists see 'healthy' expansion under way |
|
Big Builder Online |
|
Economists expect the recovery to remain "firmly on track" over the
next two years though job growth is likely to remain slow, according
to a new survey. |
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| 02/21/2010 |
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80%
of delinquent homeowners forecast to lose their homes |
|
Arizona Real Estate Notebook, |
|
John Burns Real Estate Consulting is a well respected
national real estate economic consulting firm that focuses on new home
builders as clients. They released a study last week estimating the
United States has a shadow inventory of 5 million houses that
will hit the market over the next few years. |
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| 02/20/2010 |
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Builders Expect FHA's New Guidelines to Cost Them 10-15% of Sales |
|
RISMEDIA |
|
The
housing market is still far from recovered, but builders in Southern
California, Texas and the Northeast report that prices are
increasing, either by way of reduced incentives or outright
increases to base pricing, according to John Burns Real Estate
Consulting February survey of new home builders. |
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| 02/17/2010 |
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Parsing
January's New Residential Construction Report |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
Today's New Residential Construction Report continued to indicate a
weak recovery for the new home market showing the continued
year-over-year increases to both permits and starts. |
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| 02/11/2010 |
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Citi's
Foreclosure Alternative Allows Homeowners to Stay for Six Months |
| DSNews.com |
|
As one of the nation's largest mortgage
servicers, CitiMortgage is still contending with a deluge of
foreclosures that just doesn't seem to be abating, despite stepped
up mitigation efforts and government relief programs. On Thursday,
the company announced a new pilot initiative that will allow
distressed CitiMortgage borrowers to avoid foreclosure and remain in
their homes for six months if they agree to sign over their property
deeds to the lender. |
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| 02/10/2010 |
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Are Home
Prices Headed for a Double-Dip? |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
A new report by Zillow shows that mid-2009 home price gains
are increasingly turning into home price declines and that
some major markets may soon see a dreaded "double-dip". |
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| 02/10/2010 |
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Double Dip in Home Prices Threatens One in Five Markets |
| DSNews.com |
|
Despite what seemed to be a flattening – and in some cases even a
reversal – of home price declines last year, there are signs that
the dreaded double dip is developing in as many as one in five
markets, according to data released Wednesday by Zillow. |
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| 02/05/2010 |
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FTC
Rule Bans Up-Front Fees for Modifications |
| DSNews.com |
|
The Federal Trade Commission
has proposed a new rule that would prohibit third parties, including
loan modification specialists and loss mitigation attorneys, from
collecting payment for foreclosure prevention services until after
they obtain a documented offer from a lender or servicer for a
modification or other form of mortgage relief. |
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| 02/05/2010 |
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More
Homeowners Paying Credit Cards Before Mortgages: TransUnion |
| DSNews.com |
|
A new study developed by TransUnion confirms that the new payment
hierarchy — where consumers pay their credit cards prior to their
mortgages — is continuing, with the trend occurring more readily
than ever before. |
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| 02/03/2010 |
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Battling Back, Home Builders Cut Prices, Work Faster |
|
The Wall Street Journal |
|
Home builders have lost half their share of the U.S. housing market
in the past two years, largely because of competition from cheap
foreclosed houses. In 2009 only 7.6% of the homes sold were newly
constructed, down from the average of about 16% over the previous
two decades. |
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| 02/03/2010 |
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Don't Trust
Pending Home Sales Data |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
Pending home sales were up
slightly in December from a month earlier and substantially from a
year earlier, but this has less meaning than it used to. Pending
home sales have correlated closely with actual sales closings
historically. This can be seen in the following graph. It can also
be seen that this relationship has broken down in 2008 and 2009. |
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| 02/02/2010 |
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U.S. Home
Ownership Rates Continue to Fall |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
A smaller percentage of
Americans owned their own homes in the 4th quarter of 2009 than at
any time since 2000. In the 4th quarter 67.2% of Americans owned
their own home, down from 67.6% in the third quarter and two full
percentage points below the peak set in the fourth quarter of 2004. |
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|
| 02/01/2010 |
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Bad Karma
for Homebuilders: Starts Up, Sales Down |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
The housing market news was been dismal last week. It has occupied
my attention with two articles plus an Insta-blog. Last week, David
Rosenberg, Chief Economist for Canada's Gluskin Sheff, posted an
interesting discussion, with the following two graphs: |
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| 01/28/2010 |
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Sun Belt Cities Continue to Lead
Foreclosure Stats |
|
DSNews.com |
|
Cities in the Sun Belt continue to post the nation's highest
foreclosure rates. According to the year-end metropolitan
foreclosure report released by RealtyTrac Thursday, four states
accounted for all top 20 foreclosure rates among large metro areas
in 2009. |
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| 01/27/2010 |
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New Home
Sales Drop Back Near All-Time Lows |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
Can it possibly get any worse for the homebuilders? Apparently so,
given the most recent data on new home sales as reported by the
Census Bureau a short time ago. |
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| 01/27/2010 |
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Why the
Decline in New Home Sales Is Bad News |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
New Home Sales fell 7.6% in
December from November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of
342,000. This was well below the consensus estimate of a 366,000
annual rate and even 8.6% below the year ago rate of 374,000. The
major consolation in the report was that November was not as bad as
first thought (the New Home Sales data is notorious for very large
revisions) with a rate of 370,000 rather than the first reported
rate of 355,000. |
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|
|
| 01/22/2010 |
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FHA to
Provide Early Relief to Struggling Homeowners |
|
DSNews.com |
|
In an announcement Friday, HUD said homeowners with mortgages
insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) who are
experiencing financial hardship are now eligible for loss mitigation
assistance before they fall behind on their mortgage payments. |
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| 01/22/2010 |
- |
Pool of
First-Time Homebuyers May Be Drying Up: Report |
|
DSNews.com |
|
First-time homebuyers were the most
visible segment of the home purchase market during a turbulent 2009,
but new data released this week shows the market presence of this
lucrative buying segment began to fall off as last year drew to a
close |
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| 01/21/2010 |
- |
Surge in
Short Sale Requests Unlikely to Impact Housing Market |
|
DSNews.com |
|
Although short sales are likely to increase in 2010, the jump in
these transactions is unlikely to have any real impact on the
housing market, according to a new study by Housing Predictor |
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| 01/21/2010 |
- |
Small Wonders |
|
MarketWatch |
|
New-home buyers responded to the
tough times in 2009 by opting for smaller houses, driving down the
average size of a house built in the U.S. for the first time in 27
years. |
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|
|
| 01/20/2010 |
- |
Housing
Starts vs. Skeptics |
|
Seeking Alpha |
|
Recovery skeptics are making a big deal of the fact that housing
starts fell 4% in December (seasonally adjusted). Recovery fans are
excited about the 10.9% rise in building permits, which would point
to higher starts next month. I look at both these series and see
signs that activity has probably stabilized and may be rising. |
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|
|
| 01/19/2010 |
- |
NAHB Forecasts 754K Housing
Starts by 4Q10, 1.22M by 4Q11 |
|
Big Builder Online |
|
The pace of housing starts will speed up this
spring, slow and perhaps reverse course at mid-year, and then
re-accelerate next winter and into 2011, the National Association of
Home Builders' chief economist forecast today. |
| |
|
|
| 01/14/2010 |
- |
Foreclosures Eclipse Record in 2009 |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
A record 2.8–million U.S. properties had foreclosure filings filed
against them in 2009, representing a 21% increase in the number over
the previous year and 120% above 2007, according to RealtyTrac's
annual year-end report. |
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|
|
| 01/14/2010 |
- |
U.S. Foreclosures May Rise to 3 Million This Year |
| Bloomberg.com |
|
A record 3 million U.S. homes will be repossessed by lenders
this year as high unemployment and depressed home values leave
borrowers unable to make their house payment or sell, according to a
RealtyTrac Inc. forecast. |
| |
|
|
| 01/12/2010 |
- |
Home Prices Drop as Seasonal Chill Sets In |
|
DSNews.com |
|
National home prices fell 0.3
percent in November, the Denver-based default and valuation firm
Integrated Asset Services, LLC (IAS) said Tuesday. |
| |
|
|
| 01/12/2010 |
- |
Top 10 states for foreclosure |
| Bankrate.com |
|
There's no humor in this top 10 list: The states hardest hit
by foreclosure. And it's especially unfunny for homeowners and
agents in Nevada, Florida, California and Arizona, who've languished
in the top four for most of the real estate recession. |
| |
|
|
| 01/11/2010 |
- |
Builders Warn of Debilitating
Provision in Health Care Bill |
| Nation's Building
News |
|
As Congress moves to craft a final health care bill in
the coming weeks, NAHB is leading the fight with other like-minded
business groups to strip a jobs-killing provision in Senate
legislation H.R. 3590 that would derail the fragile housing and
economic recovery by placing a major financial burden on builders.
The measure was approved by the Senate on Christmas eve by a 60 to
39 vote. |
| |
|
|
| 01/11/2010 |
- |
Sun Belt struggles to begin recovery |
|
Southern California Public Radio |
|
On the surface, economic stress in some of the Sun Belt's
hardest-hit counties appeared to ease in November. But beneath some
positive numbers is a region struggling to rebound from the damage
of the housing crisis and recession, according to The Associated
Press' monthly analysis of economic stress in more than 3,100 U.S.
counties. |
| |
|
|
| 01/10/2010 |
- |
Huge Rise in
Walkaways |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
A growing number of homeowners are doing what was once unthinkable –
strategically walking away from mortgages, and the trend is showing
huge signs of increasing with the approval of academia. |
| |
|
|
| 01/07/2010 |
- |
Short Sale
Madness |
|
Housing Predictor |
|
Distressed home sales in which the lender cooperates to cut the
amount of principal owed are likely to increase in 2010, but the
number of short sales is unlikely to have any real impact on the
housing market, according to a new Housing Predictor study. |
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| 01/07/2010 |
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Rental
Vacancies: One More Pressure on Home Prices |
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Seeking Alpha |
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Housing rents have plunged to a 30 year low, according to Reiss
& Co (a real estate market research company) as reported by Ilaina
Jonas at Reuters. Apartment vacancies rose to 8% in the
fourth quarter, also a 30-year high.
The Reiss data is collected in
metropolitan areas. |
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| 01/07/2010 |
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Unemployment
Plagues 25% of Distressed Homeowners: Study |
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DSNews.com |
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It's hard to argue that the hardships of unemployment aren't having
a notable effect on the mortgage industry and pushing some borrowers
into the at-risk column. An analysis of 400,000 homeowners in 2009
shows that nearly one in four needed access to employment services
to help them keep their homes. |
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| 01/07/2010 |
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Forty Percent
of People Fear a Double-Dip Recession: Report |
|
DSNews.com |
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In the most recent Wealth Hazards Worry Index, 40 percent of
respondents believe the U.S. economy could enter another recession
in 2010 if the government does not provide a stimulus plan.
According to the index, 32 percent are unsure if this double-dip
is imminent, and only 28 percent of people are confident no
recession will occur this year. |
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| 01/07/2010 |
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U.S.
Housing: The Big Picture |
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Seeking Alpha |
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The typical essay I write in
these pages is 700-1,500 words or so. Today's essay will be setting
an all time record because my first 1,000 words are the following: |
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